NFL Week 2 Kansen: Pro Football Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under (2023)

author:john charles wittoperateSeptember 18, 2022-last updated onSeptember 28, 2022

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do thisNFL Week 4 OddsFor this professional football season.

Check out the NFL Week 2 odds below. There were a few good games this Sunday, highlighted by Baltimore's 1-0 Dolphins vs. 1-0 Ravens (-3.5). Meanwhile, New England will be looking for its first win of the year when it travels to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers. The NFL Twins Bills close out the roster on Monday night, with the Titans facing the Bills (-10) at Orchard Park and the Vikings playing the Eagles (-2). Check out live coverage of these games and the full Week 2 schedule below.

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NFL Week 2 Odds

Compare NFL Week 2 odds, then click below to bet on your favorite prize. There is an option to view spreads,money lineAnd the total points for each game in the second week of competition.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (+4)

The two top teams in the NFL went head-to-head on Thursday night, with the Chiefs beating the Chargers 27-24. At most sportsbooks, the Chargers finish at LA +4 with a game under-52.5 overall.

Commander Washington () at the Detroit Lions ()

The Commanders kicked off the Carson Wentz era on Sunday against the Jaguars, with the veteran throwing for 313 yards and four touchdowns against a pair of INTs. The Lions put in their trademark mental effort against more talented opponents and almost staged a wild comeback before losing to the Hawks 38-35. Wentz, along with an impressive foursome of Terry McLaurin, an eventually healthy Curtis Samuel, rookie Jahan Dotson and Antonio Gibson (the receiving line where the team went 7-72 ​​on Sunday) can certainly set off a storm in the Lions' defense. Waves, which allowed Jalen to have 243 passing yards injured Sunday, A.J. scored 10-155. Brown.

Meanwhile, Jared Goff is also ending his band with D.J. Chuck after four touches with him in the opener. DeAndre Swift's 15-144 line on the ground Sunday was also quite a revelation, with both the air and ground offense able to thrive against the commander's defense, giving Jacksonville a total of 383 yards. Wentz also had a solid start to his one-year tenure with the Colts last season before his infamous late-season fading, but oddsmakers initially gave him the benefit of the doubt and put the already narrow The line is flipped closer to Pick 'Em or Commander-1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers () at the New Orleans Saints ()

The Buccaneers weren't the greatest on Sunday night, but still outscored the Cowboys 19-3. However, Chris Godwin left the game early with a hamstring injury less than two quarters into his triumphant return from a torn ACL last season. The Saints looked in good shape in a fourth-quarter loss to the Falcons on Sunday, but James Winston and the rest of the offense came alive in the final 15 minutes to seal the victory by one point.

Monday's news that Godwin could miss a few games is certainly not encouraging for Brady, who has had a lot of trouble with the Saints' defense since arriving in Tampa Bay in 2020. . The scoring game scored overall, as the Buccaneers defense was effective against Dak Prescott before his early departure Sunday night, facing a quarterback familiar to many who have had turnover problems in Winston in the past. Right now, the Buccaneers are still the 2.5-3.0 favorites, but of course that could change slightly in the coming days.

New England Patriots () at the Pittsburgh Steelers ()

After each team's first game, bets on the game are still up in the air. Not only was the Patriots underwhelming against the South Florida Dolphins, quarterback Mike Jones reportedly suffered a postgame back injury that required an X-ray. Of course, his stature will be a major determinant of how gamblers and gamblers view New England's odds. Meanwhile, the Steelers must have been solid in their 23-20 overtime win over the defending AFC champion Bengals, but it could prove to be a costly win. Reigning DPOY T.J. Watt is concerned about a torn pectoral muscle, while Najee Harris is out with a foot injury.

News on Jones was positive on Monday, as X-rays came back negative and he was apparently suffering from nothing but back spasms. As such, he seems likely to start this game, though he'll be challenged by a Pittsburgh defense -- even without Watt -- who was ferocious in attacking Joe Burrow on Sunday. Harris, on the other hand, said Tuesday that he plans to play against the Patriots. If Harris ends up being ruled out, Pittsburgh's status as a very limited home underdog earlier in the week could be preserved, although depending on the crowd, there's a chance it could be closer to Pick 'Em.

Miami Dolphins () at the Baltimore Ravens ()

Continuing their recent positive history against the Patriots, the Dolphins kicked off the Mike McDaniel/Tyreek Hill era with a satisfying 20-7 home win in Week 1. Miami's new run game failed to spark any sparks, but Hill and Jaylen Waddell combined for a 12-163-1 line.

The Ravens got off to a slow start against the Jets, then their offense went downhill in the third quarter. Lamar Jackson's three touchdown passes and a balanced dribble toward the end of the game helped make up for a lackluster ground offense. At this point, if J.K. Dobbins (knee) is likely to play in this game.

(Video) NFL Betting - The Spread Explained

Baltimore's defense wasn't tested much by the Joe Flacco-led Jets offense on Sunday, so Miami's more complete offense could present a bigger challenge if "Finland"'s season opener is any indication. . In a great matchup early on, the Dolphins could see their current disadvantage reduced by a few points over field goals, though Dobbins' news could affect either way.

Carolina Panthers () by the New York Giants ()

The Panthers got off to a lackluster start in the Baker Mayfield era, with offseason acquisitions ending in solid numbers, but Carolina outscored Carolina 26-24 on a 58-yard field goal as the day wore on. Christian McCaffrey was also fully healthy but relatively quiet (57 total yards and one touchdown). New Giants head coach Brian Dabor was quick to point out that a new era is ushering in the Big Apple, and he made a rather brave two-point conversion decision Sunday against the Titans to secure a 21-point win. -20 wins.

On a personal level, the story of the day for the G-Men was Saquon Barkley's performance as he posted a spectacular 18-164-1 line that could be a sign of things to come. The G-Men defense impresses as the game against Tennessee progresses, with New York limiting the Titans to seven runs in the second half, throwing a fourth-quarter homer and limiting Derrick Henry to 3.9 yards on offense, 3 yards, 2 yards when he ignores his game. - Long 18 yard run. Given Mayfield's previous turnover problems and tough road environment, there's certainly a chance the Giants' defense can continue its momentum, even if he still has to deal with McCaffrey. As the week progresses, New York's status as a secondary home favorite will certainly come into focus, with that number likely to cross the crucial three-point threshold in the coming days.

Indianapolis Colts () at the Jacksonville Jaguars ()

For a Colts notoriously underperforming last season, a season opener 20-20 against the Texans could be as frustrating as a loss under Indianapolis center Matt Ryan. Ryan put up impressive numbers despite four turnovers, and Jonathan Taylor (31-161-1) picked up where he left off in 21, but the Jaguars' new offense also struggled in the commander's narrow Played a role in the away defeat. While the late Trevor Lawrence INT ultimately scuttled Jacksonville's chances, the offense has a chance to get better every week because of the team's new signings, including a "redshirt" running back in a sense. Travis Etienne, became a more accustomed hit.

There's reason to believe that Indy continued to see his pass game excel in this game, as Jacksonville returned 313 passing yards and four touchdowns to Carson Wentz in Week 1. Meanwhile, Indy's stingy frontcourt allowed Houston to only 9 feet per carry in the opener, despite James Robinson and Etienne having a combined 113 rushing yards and two touchdowns (Robinson) had only 15 carries against Washington. Are oddsmakers and the public confident of the improvement the Jaguars showed in the second half on Sunday? If so, the Colts' current -4 to 4.5 line could shrink a bit.

New York Fighter () at the Cleveland Browns ()

If Sunday's season-opening 24-9 loss to the Ravens was any indication, the Jets' offense under Joe Flacco didn't appear to be putting much pressure on opposing defenses. New York has some explosive young skill players, but they can only get the most out of Zach Wilson (knee). That said, first impressions of the Jacoby Brissett helmet strikes are that they don't pack a punch in the air either.

Cleveland's narrow 26-24 win over the Panthers on Sunday wasn't a result of the passing game -- Donovan Peeps-Jones led with just 60 yards and rookie Amari Cooper made it 3-17 Yards -- so maybe the current -4 to 4.5 mark won't work in Cleveland's favor. Given the two starting quarterbacks and the quality of the Browns' defense that Carolina dominated for much of Sunday's game, it's no surprise that the projected total of 40.5 points was the lowest of the week.

Seattle Seahawks () at the San Francisco 49ers ()

The Seahawks had one of the biggest first-week upsets of the season by beating Russell Wilson and the Broncos. The 49ers could regroup after a 19-10 loss to the Bears in Week 1 under intense conditions at Soldier Field.

Given the weather and the fact that he's playing without George Kittle (groin), it's hard to judge Trey Lance's performance. Additionally, Eli Mitchell, who left Sunday's game against the Bears with yet another knee injury, will now miss some time. Given the presence of Jeff Wilson, rookie third-round pick Tyrion Davis-Price and the versatile Debo Samuel, San Francisco is well equipped to handle his absence. However, the Seahawks are talented at the skill position, and this game will usher in the debut of rookie Kenneth Walker (belly). At most sportsbooks, that line is now 49ers -10.

Atlanta Falcons () at the Los Angeles Rams ()

The Falcons arguably exceeded expectations in Marcus Mariota's first start, nearly unnerving the visiting Saints before a fourth-quarter collapse led to a one-point loss.

The Rams regrouped to open the season with a 31-10 win over the Bills on Thursday night, a game in which Matthew Stafford was harassed seven times.

Atlanta's offense looked competent Sunday under Mariota, with key contributions from key players like Kodarell Patterson and rookie Drake London, meaning the current home team's 10.5- The 11.5 points line will last for a few days and may reduce some points.

Cincinnati Bengals () at the Dallas Cowboys ()

The Bengals' heads are still spinning after their season-opening overtime loss to the Steelers in a game in which Joe Burrow had four interceptions and picked up seven sacks. Last year's phenom rookie kicker Evan McPherson also missed two potential field goal attempts.

The Cowboys scored just three points in Sunday night's opener, and to make matters worse, Dak Prescott suffered a fractured thumb that will see him miss multiple games. Dallas could have Michael Gallup (knee) recover for this crossover, though that is offset by the fact that he'll catch Cooper Rush's pass. Tee Higgins also suffered a concussion against Pittsburgh, so his status will be an issue to watch this week. Prescott's absence is certainly the biggest story here, and unsurprisingly, injuries have turned the original lineup upside down. The Cowboys -2.5 are now the Bengals -7.5 at most sportsbooks and can keep climbing.

Arizona Cardinals () in Las Vegas Raiders ()

Both teams went into a duel looking for redemption after their Week 1 losses. The Cardinals were embarrassed by the Chiefs at home, while the Raiders narrowly lost to the Chargers on the road.

A foul-laden performance was a rare feat for veteran quarterback Derek Carr, and the Chargers also beat Hunter Renfrow (6 balls, 3-21 line). Considering that Arizona allowed Patrick Mahomes 360 passing yards and five touchdowns in Week 1 and never let him down, there's reason to be confident in Carr's cleaner performance. However, the two teams look very different in their losses, which, combined with the Raiders' home game, explains why Las Vegas' predicted edge has increased by 3.5 points over the original number across multiple sportsbooks as much.

Arizona's passing game appears to be largely in trouble as it operates without DeAndre Hopkins (suspended) and Lawndale Moore (hamstring). Davante Adams, on the other hand, was solid in his Raiders debut (10-141-1), but Carr's three picks helped sink Vegas.

Considering the difference in the two teams' first-week losses, the Raiders' start-week status as the (-3.5) favorites arguably has a lot of staying power and even some potential for growth.

Houston Texas () at the Denver Broncos ()

The Texans surprised the Colts in 20-20 overtime last Sunday, and they arguably deserved the win before allowing a pair of TDs in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, the Broncos were knocked out by the Seahawks on Monday night in Seattle.

(Video) Explaining moneyline, spread, and total bets.

Both sides definitely had their Houston moments in Week 1, but a nasty trend continued from last season. The Texans still can't handle the ball consistently. Despite impressive rookie Dameon Pierce (11 carries, 33 yards), Lovie Smith's team averaged just 2.8 yards per carry against Indy, and they'll likely be in the top half of the league. Another tough afternoon for Denver's defense. Allowed 111.3 rushing yards and 4.3 rushing yards a year ago.

Houston's Davis Mills looked like a rookie starter last year that bolstered his confidence immensely, but he'll face a tougher test of a talented defense on the road in Denver. While the Broncos showed some weakness on Monday Night Football, the line hasn't changed much. When looking at the NFL Week 2 odds, Wilson and the Broncos are among the hottest odds, as they are priced at -10 in most books.

Chicago their () at the Green Bay Packers ()

The Bears capped off a big Week 1 disappointment with a 19-10 rain-soaked victory over the 49ers at Soldier Field. However, given the extenuating circumstances, performance is hard to gauge, especially with Justin Fields shooting less than 50.0 percent from the field.

The Packers offense itself has been spoiled by the Vikings, which could be a harbinger of battles that Aaron Rodgers can endure with his small receiving corps. However, if Aaron Lazard (ankle) returns for at least this primetime game, his playing time and the environment at Lambeau Field could lead to better results.

We've seen Rodgers thrive on understaffed pass-catching teams before, so even if Lazard is out again, the future Hall of Fame quarterback looks a lot better than he did against Minnesota. Rodgers was 6-0 TD:INT against the Chicago Bulls in two games last season, and his performance at Lambeau included 341 yards and four touchdowns in a 45-30 run. While Fields may have hopes of repeating his own stellar performance in that game (224 yards, 2 touchdowns and 74 rushing yards), he also committed 3 turnovers (2 INTs, 1 fumble recovery) , and will be redeemed after Week 1 against the Packers' defensive focus.

Whether the team can hold onto their opening 9.5-point advantage is an unlikely proposition, but even without Lazard on the floor, that number shouldn't be shaved off by more than 1 to 1.5 points.

Tennessee Titans () at the Buffalo Bills ()

After a 21-20 home loss to the Giants in Week 1, the Titans will enter this game a little grumpy. After an impressive start to the season on Thursday night, the Bills will enter this game with a huge half-court advantage over the defending champion Rams' prime-time slam at SoFi Stadium.

In the first part of last Sunday's loss to New York, Tennessee's offense played reasonably well without the departing A.J. Brown and Tannehill combined for 266 passing yards and two touchdowns. Derrick Henry gained 82 yards on the ground despite coming in with 3.9 yards per rush, and rookies Kyle Phillips and Trayvon Burks went 9-121 combined.

Still, it's going to be tough against a Bills defense that spends most of its time at home beating the Rams. For what it's worth, Buffalo might have some redemption, too -- Henry had 143 yards and three touchdowns in Tennessee's 34-31 win over the Titans last season. The Bills started as favorites with 6.5 to 7.5 points, and while that was a pretty big number for a game between two playoff contenders last season, they were 9.5-10 on Monday.

Minnesota Vikings () at the Philadelphia Eagles ()

How much statement does the Vikings make with a 23-7 victory over Aaron Rodgers and the Pack on Sunday, their first game under new head coach Kevin O'Connell's offense? The results were very impressive, especially in the air, but an equally strong defensive effort was aided by Green Bay's underhanded receivers. Kirk Cousins ​​and his teammates on that side of the ball grabbed the biggest headlines after the veteran quarterback passed for 277 yards and two touchdowns, with Justin Jefferson completing nine passes. Ball, 184 yards and two scoring passes.

Darwin Cook (20-90) still has plenty of chances, and he could be used more against the Eagles defense, which ran for 181 yards on 6.5 yards in Detroit. Minnesota, on the other hand, face a tougher aerial test for A.J. After a shocking complete shutout last week, Brown and the supposedly aggressive Devonta Smith.

how the lines change

Below we'll take a look at how the NFL Week 2 odds have changed from the forward line to the spread before kickoff. Here are the point differentials, odds and totals ahead of the first weekend of the NFL season on September 7.

gameNFL Week 2 Chances September 7money lineall
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City ChiefsChargers (+3) to Chiefs (-3)Chargers (+140) to Chiefs (-165)Greater than 52.5 (-110), less than 52.5 (-110)
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh SteelersPatriots (-1) vs. Steelers (+1)Patriots (-125) vs. Steelers (+105)Greater than 43 (-110), less than 43 (-110)
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore RavensRaven (-4) to Dolphin (+4)Raven (-160) Dolphin (+160)Greater than 45.5 (-110), less than 45.5 (-110)
tampa bay pirates bij new orleans saintsSaints (+3) Pirates (-3)Saints (+160) Pirates (-190)Greater than 47 (-110), less than 47 (-110)
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville JaguarsColts (-4.5) to Jaguars (+4.5)Colts (-195) vs. Jaguars (+165)Greater than 45.5 (-110), less than 45.5 (-110)
washington commander of the detroit lionsCommander (-1) of Lions (+1)Commander (-115) of Lions (-105)Greater than 45.5 (-110), less than 45.5
Carolina Panthers at New York GiantsPanthers (+1) at Giants (-1)Panthers (-110) at Giants (-110)Greater than 42.5 (-110), less than 42.5 (-110)
Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles RamsFalcons (+13) at Rams (-13)Falcons (+625) at Rams (-900)Greater than 48 (-105), less than 48 (-115)
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ersSeahawks (+8.5) vs. 49ers (-8.5)Seahawks (+320) vs. 49ers (-390)Greater than 43.5 (-110), less than 43.5 (-110)
Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas RaidersCardinals (+2.5) at Raiders (-2.5)Cardinals (+120) at Raiders (-140)Greater than 51 (-110), less than 51 (-110)
Houston Texans at Denver BroncosTexans (+10.5) vs. Broncos (-10.5)Texans (+410) vs. Broncos (-520)Greater than 43 (-110), less than 43 (-110)
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas CowboysBangladesh (+2.5) at Cowboys (-2.5)Cowboys (-125) at Bengals (+105)Greater than 51.5 (-110), less than 51.5 (-110)
chicago bears bij green bay packersBears (+9.5) at Packers (-9.5)Bears (+380) at Packers (-475)Greater than 45 (-110), less than 45 (-110)
Tennessee Titans at Buffalo BillsBill (-7) Titan (+7)Bill (-380)'s Titan (+310)Greater than 51 (-110), less than 51 (-110)
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia EaglesVikings (+2.5) at Hawks (-2.5)Vikings (+120) at Hawks (-140)Greater than 47.5 (-115), less than 47.5 (-105)

Here's how Week 2 in the NFL changes in the days leading up to each game.

gameNFL Week 2 Distribution: September 13NFL Week 2 odds: September 16
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City ChiefsChiefs Chargers +4.5 -4.5Chiefs Chargers +4 -4
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh SteelersPatriots -1 Steelers +1Patriots -2.5 Steelers +2.5
tampa bay pirates bij new orleans saintsPirates -2.5 Saints +2.5Pirates -2.5 Saints +2.5
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville JaguarsColts -4 Jaguars +4Colts -3 Jaguars +3
New York Jets at Cleveland BrownsJets +6 Browns -6Jets +6.5 Browns -6.5
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore RavensDolphins +3.5 Ravens -3.5Dolphins +3.5 Ravens -3.5
Carolina Panthers at New York GiantsPanthers +2.5 Giants -2.5Panthers +1.5 Giants -1.5
washington commander of the detroit lionsCommander +2.5 at Lion -2.5Commander +1.5 at Lion -1.5
Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles RamsFalcons +10.5 Rams -10.5Falcons +10 -10 to Rams
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ersSeahawks +10 49ers -10Seahawks +8.5 49ers -8.5
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas CowboysBengal -8 Cowboy +8Bengal -7 Cowboy +7
Houston Texans at Denver BroncosTexans +10 Broncos -10Texans +10 Broncos -10
Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas RaidersCardinals +6 -6 at Las Vegas RaidersCardinals +5 Raiders -5
chicago bears bij green bay packersPackers Bears +10 -10Packers Bears +10 -10
Tennessee Titans at Buffalo BillsTitan +10 Bill -10Titan +10 Bill -10
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia EaglesVikings +2.5 Eagles -2.5Vikings +2.5 Eagles -2.5

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What are the point spreads for Week 2 NFL? ›

NFL Week 2 Odds & Betting Lines
Thu, Sept. 14Vikings at Eagles (-6)Vikings +210; Eagles -250
Sun, Sept. 17Raiders at Bills (-8)Raiders +295; Bills -360
Sun, Sept. 17Bears (-1.5) at BuccaneersBears -120; Buccaneers +100
Sun, Sept. 17Seahawks at Lions (-2)Seahawks +110; Lions -130
12 more rows
May 18, 2023

How do you read over under spread in NFL? ›

The over/under is a single number that's usually listed for football games, and the number refers to the total number of points both teams score. If you think the teams will score more points than the number listed, then bet over. Otherwise, if you think the team will score less, bey under the number listed.

How does a +7 spread work? ›

If the spread is set at +7, this means that to cover, the underdog must either win the game outright or lose by fewer than seven points. For the favorite to cover, they must win by more than seven points.

How often does the favored team cover the spread? ›

This is the breakdown from last season: 133 times the favorite won the game and covered the spread. 97 times the underdog won the game outright. 39 times the favorite won the game but the underdog covered the spread.

What is point spread in NFL pro line? ›

A Point Spread is a handicap given to the underdog team and deducted from the favourite team's total score. Point Spreads are expressed as a plus (+) for the underdog and a minus (-) for the favourite. For example: Buffalo has a Point Spread of -6.5 and Detroit has a Point Spread of +6.5.

What are point spread payouts? ›

A point spread bet has three potential outcomes: win, loss, or push. If bettors choose correctly and win, a sportsbook will pay the bettor in full amount based on the “price” of the wager, which is most commonly -110. That means a bet for $110 would win $100, or $11 would win $10, and so on.

Is it better to bet over or under NFL? ›

The bettor interested in an over/under wager must guess whether the teams will combine to score more than 46.5 points or fewer. If you think it's going to be a lower-scoring game, you will want to bet the Under. If you think it'll be a higher-scoring game, you should bet the Over.

Is it better to bet spread or over under? ›

Betting on favourites against the spread results in better payouts than when taking the moneyline. With underdogs, covering the spread requires winning the contest or losing by a less than the point spread.

How does the spread work over under? ›

That number is the line for over/under bets, called the total. A bet on the over means you think both teams will combine to score more goals, points, or runs than the total listed. Conversely, an under bet means you think there will be less than the total listed. It's that simple.

What does +7.5 spread mean in NFL? ›

To beat the spread, they must close the point gap to within 7.5 points or win outright. Once the game is over, you can take the Patriots final score and add 7.5 points. If they now have more than the opponent, your bet is a winner.

What does +7.5 mean in a spread? ›

A 7.5 spread means the favorite needs to win by at least 8 points. That's because you can't score half points, half goals, or half runs in sports.

What does +7.5 mean in alternate spread? ›

A 7.5-point underdog will have improved betting odds on an alternate line of 3.5 or even 1.5 points. And taking a 7.5-point underdog to cover a 14-point spread would create diminished betting odds. Pairing alternate lines into a parlay is known as a teaser.

How often do underdogs beat the spread? ›

NFL underdogs won 34.3% of games during the 2022-23 regular season. That's approximately three percentage points lower than the 2021-22 season (37.5%), reducing the three-year winning percentage (2020-22) to 34.7%. Since 2013, NFL underdogs have a winning percentage of 33.8%.

How often does the Moneyline favorite win? ›

Over the past five seasons, 67.25% of favorites have been successful in the NBA regular season. Home favorites have a slightly higher success rate than those on the road, with 69% of home favorites winning compared to 64.4% of those on the road.

Who covers the spread the most? ›

The New England Patriots have covered the most spreads by a team, covering the spread 385 times.
New England Patriots753453
San Francisco 49ers751430
Pittsburgh Steelers745442
Green Bay Packers743418
28 more rows

What does +10.5 point spread mean? ›

Looking at the underdogs, the Redskins are +10.5 on the spread (10.5-point underdogs), meaning they would have to lose by 10 or less in order for your bet to cash. The Titans are 4.5-point underdogs, meaning they would have to lose by four points or less in order to win.

How accurate are NFL point spreads? ›

Even though most people think that the spread bets are even, paying 1:1, that is not entirely true. The actual odds are 0.90:1 which means that you are getting 90 cents back for every $1 you spend. In order to find how accurate NFL spreads are, we need to study some statistics from the last couple of seasons.

How accurate is the point spread in the NFL? ›

Of the 23 underdogs who have covered the spread – 19 have won the game outright, with one tie game. This means 82.6% of underdogs who cover are winning the game outright. Additionally, almost 40% of NFL games are ending in upsets!

Does moneyline or spread pay more? ›

While a point spread requires the team you bet on to win by a specified margin, moneyline does not. However, point spread bets typically have odds somewhat close to even money, meaning you would win about as much as you bet if you won. Moneyline bets have a wide range of odds.

How does spread vs moneyline work? ›

At its core, sports betting is putting money behind an outcome of your choice and getting paid if that outcome is achieved. If a bet is on the winner of a game, that is called a moneyline bet. If you're betting that a team will win or lose by a certain amount of points, that is called a spread bet.

How does moneyline spread work? ›

A moneyline is simply a bet type that only includes Odds, as in “Odds to win”. Example: a moneyline of +150, is just +150 odds ($100 to win $150) for the listed team to win. A moneyline of -150 is just -150 odds ($150 to win $100) for the listed team to win.

What wins more often over or under? ›

If games went over or under much more often than the other, sports betting would be easy, wouldn't it? The betting market is pretty good at creating accurate totals to split both sides 50/50. But in most sports, games do go under slightly more often.

What is the easiest bet on the NFL game? ›

While less popular than betting the spread, the NFL moneyline is the easiest football bet to understand. When betting the moneyline, you are simply picking the team that will win the game.

What is the most profitable bet in football? ›

There is a number of betting markets offered in football betting, including the likes of double chance and both teams to score, but the fact is most successful bettors bet on straight win, goal line or Asian handicaps as these three markets are believed to be most easy to take advantage of.

Is it smart to bet moneyline and spread? ›

If you want to bet on big underdogs hoping for a big payout, then a moneyline bet is better. If you are a conservative bettor and want to win more often at a lower payout, then moneyline favorites are better. If you want to roughly have a 50% chance of winning your bet, then a point spread bet is better.

Is it smart to bet the moneyline? ›

Are moneyline bets good bets? They're perfectly fine. Your bankroll, your call. It's not a long-term winning strategy to bet big on heavy favorites; after all, favorites lose all the time.

What happens if you bet $100 on a money line? ›

Underdogs are given plus moneyline odds, meaning a $100 bet would yield that moneyline's total if the underdog wins the matchup: +300 odds means a $300 profit; +550 odds means a $550 profit; +1200 odds means a $1200 profit.

What happens if you tie the over under in a parlay? ›

The push could also impact a parlay. If one of the results is a tie, then most sportsbooks will remove that wager from the equation and settle the bet based on the results of the other legs. Most two-leg parlays will push if either leg pushes and another wins.

Can a team lose and still cover the spread? ›

To place a bet on the favored Giants means they must win by at least 10 points to cover the spread. The underdog Jets can lose by eight points and still cover the spread.

What is the over under strategy in math? ›

Over / Under bets are also known as 'Totals'. Simply predict whether the final total number of points scored is above or below a given total. The total or points line is supplied by the bookmaker. Easy bet to make and ideal for all levels of sports betting experience.

What does +8.5 spread mean in football? ›

Let's say that a team is favored as 8.5 point favorites or written as -8.5. For the favored team to “cover the spread,” they must win by at least nine points. If they win by eight points or less, it doesn't matter that they won because they didn't cover the spread.

What is a +6.5 spread in football? ›

The underdog is the team that is projected to lose the game. They are assigned a point spread with a plus sign (+) in front of the number, such as Carolina Panthers (+5.5). In this case, the Panthers would need to lose by five points or fewer or win outright for you to win your bet.

What is a good win percentage against the spread? ›

Bob McCune, Legendary Sports Handicapper, Bettor and Author. For professional sports bettors, a long-term winning percentage of around 55 percent is ideal.

What's +10 spread mean? ›

The +10 means that Team A will have to win by at least 10 points for you to win our bet, while the -10 means Team B has to lose by fewer than 10 points for you to win your bet.

What does +4.5 mean in a spread? ›

In basketball, you might see a point spread of -4.5/+4.5, which means the favored team will need to win the game by five points or more for your bet to cover the spread. If you bet on the underdog, they simply need to win the game or lose the game by less than four points. If they lose by five, your bet won't cash.

What does a +4.0 spread mean? ›

For example, with a 4-point spread, the favorite team must win by more than 4 points for bettors to get paid. Conversely, the underdogs can lose by 1, 2, or 3 points (or win the game outright) and still win the bet. However, if the underdogs lose by more than 4 points, the bet is a loss.

What does +7.5 mean with sports gambling? ›

In our scenario, the favorite would be listed at -7.5. That means they'd have to win by at least eight points to cash that bet. Betting the underdog at +7.5 means they could still lose on the scoreboard but win at the sportsbook, but only if the final margin is fewer than eight points.

What does minus 5.5 spread mean? ›

Most point spreads will have odds at or around -110. For example, if Indiana and Chicago are playing a basketball game and the line is -5.5 for Indiana, they would need to win by 6 or more points to 'cover. ' If Indiana wins 105-100, bets on them to cover would lose. -5.5.

What does a 13.5 spread mean? ›

Remember, in point spread, you are not betting on the winner but on the margin of victory. So, if you bet on the Chiefs and they win the game, but by less than 13.5 points, you would lose that bet. If you bet on the Broncos you would win the bet if they win, OR if they lose by 13.5 points or less.

Who wins more favorites or underdogs? ›

The underdog is always the side of the bet with the biggest, most attractive odds. If you win a bet on an underdog, you will always win more money than if you had bet the same amount on the favorite. The bigger the underdog, the bigger the potential payout if you win.

How many underdogs won Week 1? ›

The first week of the NFL season was a strong one for the underdogs, which nabbed five wins as the season opened.

How often do NFL teams beat the spread? ›

Historically, the point-spread matters in the NFL only about 16% of the time. In other words, 84% of the time, the team that covers the spread also wins.

What is the average moneyline in the NFL? ›

NFL moneyline odds typically range from -110, which would be considered a small favorite all the way up to -600, which would be considered a massive favorite.

What are the best moneyline odds to bet? ›

The best thing to look at before making a moneyline bet is the point spread. Why is this important? It's because, on average, teams that are underdogs by three points or less have the highest percentage chance of winning the moneyline. Teams with home-field advantage tend to get more favorable odds.

What is the moneyline favorite? ›

Favorites on the moneyline are almost always denoted with a minus sign (we'll explain the “almost” part later). So, for instance, let's say a moneyline favorite appears as -180 on the betting board. That minus sign indicates the amount of money one must wager to win $100. So a bettor looking to win $100 will risk $180.

What is the highest NFL spread ever? ›

Going into the game, the 2013 Broncos were averaging 46 points per game vs the Jag's 10.2, which helps to explain the 28 point spread, the biggest in football history.

Who is the favorite in a spread? ›

A point spread is a bet on the margin of victory in a game. The stronger team or player will be favored by a certain number of points, depending on the perceived gap in ability between the two teams. A minus sign (-) means that team is the favorite. A plus sign (+) means that team is the underdog.

What percentage of NFL games hit the over? ›

First of all, Do most NFL games go over or under? Based on the last nine seasons of the NFL, Under has been more successful than over with 51.31% going under whilst only 47.49% went over with the remainder being pushes.

Who wins NFL Week 2? ›

NFL Week 2 picks: Tom Brady ends Saints curse, Chiefs win thriller over Chargers, Vikings upset Eagles -

What are the point spreads for Week 3 NFL? ›

NFL Week 3 Odds & Betting Lines
Sun, Sept. 24Saints at Packers (-1)Saints -105; Packers -115
Sun, Sept. 24Falcons at Lions (-5)Falcons +180; Lions-210
Sun, Sept. 24Colts at Ravens (-7)Colts +245; Ravens -295
Sun, Sept. 24Titans at Browns (-4.5)Titans +165; Browns -195
12 more rows

Who is favored Washington or Detroit? ›

Washington8-8-1-1.5 Point Spread % of Bets 12% % of Money 50% WAS -1.5 Play NowO 48.5 Total Points % of Bets 76% % of Money 79% O 48.5 Play Now
Detroit9-8-0+1.5 Point Spread % of Bets 12% % of Money 50% WAS -1.5 Play NowU 48.5 Total Points % of Bets 76% % of Money 79% O 48.5 Play Now

What are the NFL power rankings after Week 2? ›

Neil Reynolds' Week 2 Power Rankings
  • Buffalo Bills. 2022 · 2-0-0. ...
  • Kansas City Chiefs. 2022 · 2-0-0. ...
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 2022 · 2-0-0. ...
  • Philadelphia Eagles. 2022 · 2-0-0. ...
  • Los Angeles Chargers. 2022 · 1-1-0. ...
  • Green Bay Packers. 2022 · 1-1-0. ...
  • Los Angeles Rams. 2022 · 1-1-0. ...
  • Miami Dolphins. 2022 · 2-0-0.
Sep 19, 2022

Who will have the best defense in Week 2? ›

Week 2 fantasy defense rankings
1Dallas Cowboys@ WAS
2San Francisco 49ersvs ARI
3Kansas City Chiefs@ LV
4Baltimore Ravens@ CIN
28 more rows
Sep 12, 2022

Does the 2 seed get a bye in the NFL? ›

The second seed in each conference no longer receives a bye. The 14-team format means that 43.75 percent of the NFL's teams will make the playoffs. That includes four division winners in each conference and three wild cards.

How accurate are NFL spreads? ›

The average variance against the spread was 8, but there were many games with less than 5 points and games with more than 30 points. In other words, spreads are pretty accurate but not as perfect as most people think.

What is the biggest NFL point spread ever? ›

Going into the game, the 2013 Broncos were averaging 46 points per game vs the Jag's 10.2, which helps to explain the 28 point spread, the biggest in football history.

How do you read over under spread? ›

How do you read a sports betting line?
  1. On the spread, the team with the negative line is the favorite, and the positive line indicates the underdog. ...
  2. You can also identify favorites and underdogs by looking at the moneyline. ...
  3. For betting on MLB games, the same basic concepts apply, but the run line replaces the spread.
May 21, 2023

What is a +10.5 spread in NFL? ›

Looking at the underdogs, the Redskins are +10.5 on the spread (10.5-point underdogs), meaning they would have to lose by 10 or less in order for your bet to cash.

Who is favored Michigan or Michigan State? ›

Michigan St vs C. Michigan Odds

Who is favored Washington or Chicago? ›

The Bears are favored by one point over the Commanders, but a single measly point isn't going to do much in the face of a touchdown or even a field goal. Don't sacrifice a chunk of your potential payout by stooping to this line, especially if you're looking to bet on Washington to win.

Who is favored between Detroit and Chicago? ›

Closing Odds
MatchupBet %
Detroit+3 -11232%
Chicago-3 -10868%


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